Roth Often Delivers Greater Ending Wealth

Authors of a new research report tell PLANSPONSOR they were surprised by just how well the Roth approach performed in the comparative analysis versus traditional IRAs. 

An informative new report from NerdWallet argues that for most savers at largely all income levels, utilizing a Roth individual retirement account (IRA) can generate significantly more retirement wealth compared with a traditional individual retirement account (IRA).

Outlining the research results for PLANADVISER, Arielle O’Shea, co-author of “Roths Top Traditional IRAs by up to Six Figures in Retirement Savings Analysis,” suggested she and her colleagues were surprised by just how well the Roth approach performed in the comparative analysis.

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Using a Roth individual retirement account nets investors more retirement dollars in many cases,” she observes. “The difference is well over $100,000 in the vast majority of tax scenarios.”

O’Shea, who penned the analysis with Jonathan Todd, says she was “surprised to see such a widespread gap in performance across so many tax scenarios. That was striking.

“No matter what your tax rate is now and what you might expect it to be in retirement, if you’re making the maximum contribution, we measure that Roth essentially always outperforms, because of the strong benefit of pre-paying your taxes,” she continues. “You don’t really think about it this way, but you are pre-paying the taxes in the Roth, so in a sense you are investing more money than you otherwise would be able to. It costs you a little more to make those contributions in the moment, of course, but you are doing your future self a huge favor in retirement by taking this approach.”

NerdWallet’s research might raise an eyebrow among IRA enthusiasts, because the conventional wisdom is that an investor should go with a traditional IRA unless they have sat down and done a very serious analysis of what their individual tax rate is now and what they believe it may be in the future. But these results argue basically the opposite; the Roth approach almost always results in more ending wealth.

“I would make one caveat,” O’Shea warns. “It is important to note that we looked at maximum contributions.”

If the “net cost” of the pre-tax contribution to a Roth IRA is under $5,500, taking the traditional or Roth IRA approach will be more or less equivalent, assuming the tax rates stay the same now and at retirement. Consider the case in which a saver has 30 years until retirement, a 20% tax rate now and at retirement, and wants to make a $2,000 contribution to a Roth IRA.

“That will cost a net $2,500 in pre-tax income,” O’Shea observes. “This investor could instead opt to put an equivalent $2,500 in pre-tax income into a traditional IRA. At retirement, the saver will have the same amount, or $167,603, assuming a 6% annual return, whether he saved with the Roth or traditional IRA.  It is only as long as the pre-tax cost of the Roth contribution (the contribution you make plus taxes you will pay on that amount of income) is greater than the $5,500 limit, then the Roth advantage holds.”

NEXT: Digging into the results 

O’Shea adds that “lower down on the contribution scale below the maximum, things get a little muddier, certainly. But we think it is important to highlight this as a goal for people—to represent what the ideal might be so that people can work towards that. If you are maxing out contributions, most likely it will make sense to go with Roth.”

The analysis offers some additional examples: For someone with a current effective tax rate of 20%, the cost of making a $5,000 contribution to the Roth would be $6,250. Another way to think about this is to say that the individual has saved $5,000 and at the same time pre-payed some of the tax he would otherwise owe in retirement. So the trick is that this after tax account is allowing the individual to save more on net than he could in a traditional IRA, through which you aren’t able to pre-pay taxes.”

Even in cases where an investor isn’t very eager to change their investing approach, this is important stuff to consider—how significant the impact of taxes will be on net wealth in retirement. It can be hugely significant.

“One other aspect that impacts the analysis is whether or not you invest the tax savings you see in the short term when using a traditional IRA,” O’Shea adds. “Say, if you take the equivalent of the $1,250 that you would have had to pay in taxes to make a $5,500 Roth contribution and put that into an after-tax brokerage account.”

This can go a long way to making up the performance gap and matching the performance of the Roth approach. But, of course, this requires an annual commitment to fund and manage the brokerage account, which is far from a given over a 30-year time horizon.

“In a way it feels less painful to make the $5,500 Roth contribution, even though it is costing you more because you are not getting a tax deduction—but you aren’t actually physically putting that extra money into a separate account,” O’Shea concludes. “Instead, it is just absorbed into your taxes and you don’t really have to feel that loss as much. We have seen a lot of evidence that the behavior element is very important.”

The full analysis is available for download, along with a helpful Roth-versus-traditional calculator, at www.NerdWallet.com

Work Intrudes on Sleep

One in four workers (26%) feel they do not get enough sleep each night, and 60% of all workers say that a lack of sleep has negatively impacted their work, according to a CareerBuilder survey.

Nearly half of all workers (47%) say thinking about work keeps them up at night.

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In addition, only 17% of all workers get at least eight hours of sleep a night. Half of workers (52%) log an average of five to seven hours of sleep each night, while 6% average less than five hours per night.

For some workers, hitting the snooze button in attempt to doze a little bit longer just doesn’t cut it. One in five workers (22%) have called in sick for the purpose of getting extra sleep.

“As Americans work extended hours, routinely take work home, and juggle two or more jobs on top of long commutes, sleep has become a casualty of the race for time,” says Rosemary Haefner, chief human resources officer at CareerBuilder. “But lack of sleep undermines performance and can create a vicious cycle of working more hours to compensate for diminished productivity and having less time to sleep.”

Three in five workers (60%) say lack of sleep has had an impact on their work in some way, including:

  • It makes the day go by slower: 29%;
  • It makes me less motivated: 27%;
  • It makes me less productive: 25%;
  • It affects my memory: 19%;
  • It takes me longer to complete tasks: 13%;
  • It makes me crabby with my coworkers: 13;
  • It makes me make mistakes: 12%; and
  • It makes me resent my job: 8%.
NEXT: Crazy work dreams

A significant proportion of workers can't seem to escape work, even while they're sleeping. Sixty-five percent reported that they have dreamed about work at one time, with 13% saying it happens always or often.

When asked the craziest work dream they've had, workers said the following:

  • Tyrannosaurus Rex worked at my office;
  • I showed up to work three hours late, and I was only half dressed. That was OK though, because we have a relaxed dress code. The problem was I had not realized the Queen of England was visiting, and I felt embarrassed;
  • I work with software. While I was pregnant, I had a dream that I had to upload my unborn baby at the end of every day, or she'd lose her development for the day;
  • My coworker had a baby but wrapped it in a burrito wrapper;
  • I was naked getting ready to get on a roller coaster while trying to reconcile an account I'm working on;
  • My boss and I were mowing a lawn in the clouds on a go-kart;
  • My boss adopted me and my coworkers. He got us housing and took us shopping;
  • Famous people worked with me in place of my coworkers;
  • I drove the forklift home from work; and
  • I opened a "bank and brew" where customers, after doing their banking business, had a choice of craft beers and tapas.

The survey found nearly two in five workers (38%) would take advantage of a designated "nap room" if offered at their place of work. But 94% of workers would not take a pay cut for the ability to go in two hours later.

The survey was conducted online within the U.S. by Harris Poll on behalf of CareerBuilder among 3,616 employees ages 18 and older (employed full-time, not self-employed, including 3,411 in the private sector) between November 16 and December 6, 2016.

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