Industry Questions Wisdom of Latest PBGC Rate Hikes

One career actuary tells PLANSPONSOR pension plan clients have voiced a range of strong emotions—even a sense of betrayal—after yet another round of PBGC premiums hikes was announced. 

Following the debate and approval of the Bipartisan Budget Act in recent weeks, sponsors of defined benefit plans are facing the unsavory prospect, yet again, of dramatic increases in Pension Benefit and Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) default insurance premiums.

This newly programed series of increases comes on top of the significant premium hikes plan sponsors have already had to absorb in recent years, says Cammack Retirement Group Managing Actuary Art Scalise. Under the terms of the bipartisan budget accord, PBGC premiums are expected to reach up to $78 by 2019, far higher than they were just a few years ago, and the increased cost has many plan sponsors looking, more and more desperately, for an exit strategy, he says.

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The budget agreement provides that the single-employer fixed Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) premium will be raised to $68 for 2017, $73 for 2018, and $78 for 2019, and then re-indexed for inflation after that. The variable rate premium would continue to be indexed for inflation, but would be increased by an additional $2 in 2017, and additional $3 in 2018, and an additional $3 in 2019.

Scalise says he has been in his role at Cammack for nearly three years, after spending 16 years working at Aon Hewitt, coming from the Aon side. Throughout that time the PBGC has slowly shifted from being perceived as an ally of the DB system to a major obstacle to its survival.

“It has undoubtedly become more difficult for plan sponsor clients to deal with PBGC premiums and requirements since I joined the industry,” Scalise tells PLANSPONSOR. “Especially in the market where I have had an opportunity to concentrate, which is health care systems, plan sponsors have become increasingly cash strapped. Right now they’re trying to figure out how to continue to fund their DB plan required contributions, which are also increasing on an annual basis. When you layer on the extra PBGC premiums each year, it’s taking a real toll on them.”

NEXT: Third time’s a charm 

Scalise observes this is the third round of announced PBGC premium increases “in something like a four-year period.”

“What’s worse, each time the premium hikes are put forward, they’re presented as the solution that will finally get the PBGC system to be sustainable and prevent the need for further hikes down the road,” Scalise explains. Years of conflicting messaging have left plan sponsors skeptical and embittered, “and they are clearly worried about what has been going on. Heading into the last month when additional increases were announced, PBGC premiums were believed to have been capped for the foreseeable future. The constant changes leave sponsors with no idea about where the DB plan environment is going.”

Also troubling, Scalise says, is the PBGC decisionmaking doesn’t exactly line up with wider market indicators.

“Sponsors have been doing their best at funding the plans, and many are putting in more money than required by law in the interest of getting ahead of the PBGC premiums and in the interest of the health of the plan,” he says. “From that perspective, and when one considers where markets and interest rates are going, I think this latest news took a lot of people by surprise.”

Part of the problem, as with other federal agencies, Scalise says, is that thinking and decisionmaking at PBGC is too closely tied to the current, short-term fiscal and economic environment. For a lot of plan sponsors, and the PBGC by extension, the current environment indeed looks pretty dismal from an asset versus projected liability perspective. But, as Scalise observes, we also know markets have been at historically low interest rates for a long time, and that plans’ funded statuses will almost inevitably bounce back as interest rates climb.

“What’s going to happen when interest rates start to rise for real and the liability the PBGC is reporting starts to dwindle significantly?” he asks. “What happens if rates rise enough to get plans close to 100% funding, what are you going to do with any excess monies? Do they refund it? Do they give credits to the plans somewhat? We don’t know what they will do.”

NEXT: The industry agrees

On Tuesday The Pension Coalition—which represents the pension-related interests of financial industry associations and individual companies across all major economic sectors—sent an open letter to lawmakers and the PBGC echoing many of Scalise’s arguments.

The letter urges lawmakers and regulators “to protect job-creators, workers, retirees, and their retirement security by opposing any further increases in premiums paid to the PBGC by sponsors of single-employer defined benefit plans.” It argues the recent premium increases “come on top of nearly $17 billion in premium increases already imposed over the last three years. In that same time, Congress has almost doubled the flat rate premium from $35 per participant to $64 per participant. The variable rate premium has also tripled from $9 per $1,000 of underfunding to $30 per $1,000 of underfunding.”

Annette Guarisco Fildes, president and CEO of the ERISA Industry Committee (ERIC), which is a founding member of the Pension Coalition, agrees that large employers have worked very hard in recent years and historically to create benefits plans that offer their employees the best options for their future.

“Increasing premiums only serves to hurt those employees and employers participating in defined benefits plans,” she says. “The most frustrating thing about this latest hike is that the PBGC’s own analysis does not call for an increase in premiums on single-employer defined benefit plans.”

National Association of Manufacturers Director of Tax Policy Christina Crooks highlights the fact that businesses are clearly already struggling with PBGC premium increases enacted over the past few years, “with nearly half of that amount being paid by manufacturers.” The additional premium hikes in the budget deal equate to a tax on employers, she adds, diverting dollars away from funding participant benefits, creating jobs and growing the economy.

The letter also argues that counting increased PBGC premiums as general revenue for purposes of budgetary scorekeeping is inconsistent with good governance and does not strengthen the nation’s retirement system. By law, PBGC premiums go directly to the PBGC, not to the Treasury and can only be used to pay benefits to plan participants and beneficiaries.

Read the Pension Coalition’s letter on ERIC’s website here.

PBGC Programs’ Deficits Continue to Climb

The multiemployer program deficit is $52 billion, and the single-employer program deficit is $24 billion.

The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation’s (PBGC’s) multiemployer insurance program reported a negative net position or “deficit” of $52.3 billion, compared with $42.4 billion last fiscal year-end, according to the agency’s 2015 fiscal year Annual Report.

In addition, the single-employer program deficit increased to $24.1 billion, up from $19.3 billion reported in the previous year

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The larger deficit for the multiemployer program is due to changes in interest factors the agency uses that increased multiemployer program liabilities. PBGC’s interest factors are used to measure the value of future benefit payments. During a media call, the agency explained that its interest factors are set from a survey of annuity prices, and they are set so that, in combination with mortality tables it uses, PBGC can get a good evaluation of prices in the annuity marketplace. The agency is trying to replicate the price in the private market to provide annuities to participants in terminated employer plans.

The deficit increase was also driven by the identification of 17 additional multiemployer plans that are newly terminated or are projected to run out of money within the next 10 years.

NEXT: Increased deficit in single-employer plan

While the Multiemployer Pension Reform Act of 2014 (MPRA) increased multiemployer plan premiums and provided new options for troubled multiemployer plans to avoid insolvency, no plans have completed the processes required to use MPRA options; therefore, PBGC’s FY 2015 financial results do not show any effect due to the use of those options.

The agency explained that the Annual Report is a snapshot of what has happened to date in the fiscal year, while the Projections Report issued earlier in the year looks ahead 10 years and considers forthcoming legislation.

The increased deficit in the single-employer program is due largely to changes in interest factors that increased the value of single-employer program liabilities. In fiscal year (FY) 2015, the agency paid $5.6 billion in benefits to 826,000 retirees in terminated single-employer plans (compared to $5.5 billion in FY 2014). In FY 2015, the agency assumed responsibility for more than 25,000 additional people in 65 trusteed single-employer plans. However, as in recent years, PBGC did not incur any large losses from completed or probable plan terminations.

The agency said it received $4.1 billion in premiums for single-employer plans, and investment income was a small $324 million.

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