The Employee Benefit Research Institute estimates that at least 21.9 million workers will qualify for the Saver’s Match, created under the SECURE 2.0 Act of 2022.
The Saver’s Match is scheduled to begin being paid in 2027. It converts the Saver’s Credit, a tax credit for lower-income workers who contribute to a defined contribution plan or individual retirement account, into a federal government match. The match has a maximum value of $1,000 at a rate of $0.50 per dollar contributed by a worker.
Single workers making up to $20,000 qualify for the full amount, with the match amount gradually decreased in a phase-out range up to $35,000 in annual income. For married filers, those with combined income of up to $41,000 qualify for the full amount, with the phase-out range going up to $70,000. The match would be paid to eligible taxpayers’ retirement plan after the worker applied for it, according to the institute’s paper.
EBRI’s information is based on W-2 data published by the IRS and on data from the monthly Current Population Survey sponsored jointly by the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The most recent taxpayer data available is from tax year 2018, filed in 2019. Using tax data, EBRI found that about 83.8 million people would qualify. But because the provision applies to income from earnings, EBRI narrowed its consideration to households filing W-2s with qualifying amounts of income, which reduced the number of potentially eligible taxpayers to 69 million.
From there, EBRI used W-2 data on contributions to a defined contribution plan, a traditional IRA or a Roth IRA. When accounting for taxpayers who contributed to more than one account type, EBRI found that 18.9 million eligible workers had contributed to a DC plan, 2 million to a Roth IRA and 1 million to a traditional IRA, totaling 21.9 million people.
Those eligible who contribute to a Roth IRA can still claim the match but must receive the match into a traditional IRA, since the federal matching contribution would be made using pre-tax dollars.
EBRI cautioned that the true number of eligible participants today is likely higher, and the figure 21.9 million should be interpreted as a lower bound. Since the data used for the estimate is from 2018, the true figure in 2024, and in 2027 when the match comes into effect, likely is and will be higher.
The report also did not account for anyone who may qualify due to 1099 income or taxpayers at the highest ends of the phase-out ranges who would be receiving very small amounts as a match.
PGIM: Core Menu Should Reflect Investment Needs of Older Participants
Because equity funds tend to dominate core investment menus, PGIM argues in a new paper that there is a need for more fixed-income and conservative funds.
As plan sponsors increasingly seek to keep participants in-plan during retirement, a new report from PGIM suggests that plan sponsors and consultants need to revisit core investment menus and offer more asset classes that will benefit older, more conservative investors.
According to PGIM, equity funds “dominate” core menus today, with roughly three times as many equity funds as bond funds on core menus.
The paper suggested that the benefits of including more conservative asset classes include higher risk-adjusted returns that could result in four more years of retirement income for participants investing in the core menu.
David Blanchett, the author of the report and head of retirement research at PGIM DC solutions, wrote that the most notable gaps in asset class availability today include inflation-linked bonds, commodities and real estate. He argued that long-term bonds and high-yield bonds deserve wider consideration as well.
Improving the core menu does not necessarily mean adding more options, Blanchett said, but designing it more strategically by consolidating the existing riskier options to make room for more conservative asset classes that are currently missing.
David Stinnett, a principal of strategic retirement consulting at Vanguard, says it is important not to overwhelm participants with too many menu options because, “by definition, they are not professional investors.”
“This is not something they do as part of their daily job, and so on those occasions when they [need] to make decisions, and these decisions often have a very big impact on their long-term retirement outcomes, you want to structure things in such a way that won’t overwhelm, intimidate or confuse,” Stinnett says.
According to Vanguard’s most recent “How America Saves” research study, the average number of funds a sponsor offers in its lineup is 17.4, assuming that a target-date-fund series counts as one investment. Stinnett says the average number of funds a participant uses is a mere 2.4.
“Participants are generally not taking a peanut butter approach and spreading out amongst all the funds, which of course wouldn’t be a very sensible thing to do, and they are kind of picking and choosing, which is good,” Stinnett says.
The PLANSPONSOR 2023 DC Plan Benchmarking Survey found even higher average sizes for investment lineups, with DC plans offering an average of 26 investment options and participants holding an average of 5.3 investment options in their accounts.
Older Participants More Reliant on Core Menu Funds
Because of the rise in plan features like automatic enrollment and the rise of default investments, particularly in target-date funds, PGIM argued in its paper that core menus have taken on more of a supporting role in DC plans. As a result, fewer participants are using the core menu and, in turn, fewer are directly driving their allocation decisions.
PGIM also found that older participants tend to be more likely to take advantage of the core menu. For example, data from Vanguard show that while roughly 80% of participants in 2022 were using target-date funds, they only represented approximately 40% of assets. This is likely because participants who have higher balances—those who tend to be older and have higher incomes—are less likely to use a professionally managed portfolio option in DC plans.
The PGIM paper suggested that because older participants are more likely to use the core menu, it is important for them to have access to less aggressive asset classes; this is less significant for younger participants, who tend to use the default investments.
According to data from Morningstar, domestic large-cap equities are included the most in retirement plan investment menus, followed by foreign large-cap, while domestic mid-cap and domestic small-cap are roughly tied. However, there is relatively little coverage of the more alternative-type asset classes, such as commodities and real estate (both domestic and global).
Generally, the fund counts suggest that participants building more aggressive portfolios are going to have more options available than those building more conservative portfolios, according to PGIM.
Making Changes to the Menu
When evaluating an investment menu, Stinnett says plan sponsors need to follow certain criteria before they decide on adding or removing any funds from the plan.
“Usually that criteria revolves around cost and performance,” Stinnett says. “You want relatively low-cost funds that perform competitively over the long term, but you want to have a standard that you use to assess those funds, both from a cost and a performance standpoint.”
He says while it is important for plan sponsors to look at the utilization of the funds, this should not necessarily be a deciding factor of whether or not to keep a fund on the menu, as a lack of utilization may be due to poor communication about the existence or benefits of a certain fund.
Stinnett also echoes the arguments made in PGIM’s report, saying that from a demographic perspective, as there is an aging workforce and a growing number of participants are staying in plan after they retire, plan sponsors should start to think about adding more fixed-income investments to the menu to support more conservative investors.
“The investment lineup is so fundamental to the whole reason for having a 401(k) plan,” Stinnett says. “Once you’ve made the decision to save, you have decades to invest and hopefully for that to grow and compound over time. So the responsibility of a plan sponsor to select the right funds out of the thousands that are available, [as well as] the right coverage, [means that] structuring them the right way [and] providing prudent oversight over time is so important.”