How Consistent 401(k) Participation Boosts Balances

The average 401(k) plan account balance for consistent participants rose meaningfully each year between 2010 and 2019, with the exception of a slight decline in 2018, according to EBRI.

A new brief published by the Employee Benefit Research Institute aims to measure the benefits of constant participation in a 401(k) plan, analyzing data from 1.3 million 401(k) participants who maintained accounts each year from 2010 through 2019.

The underlying data, which had been previously reported, is drawn from an earlier EBRI brief EBRI published jointly with the Investment Company Institute, “401(k) Plan Asset Allocation, Account Balances, and Loan Activity in 2019.” The data cover a cross section of the entire population of 401(k) plan participants, and as such represent a wide range of participants.

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In the new brief, “What Does Consistent Participation in 401(k) Plans Generate? Changes in 401(k) Plan Account Balances, 2010–2019,” EBRI specifically spotlights the accounts of those participants who maintained accounts over the entire decade. Because of changing samples of providers, plans and participants, changes in account balances for the entire database are not a reliable measure of how individuals have fared, the brief says. A consistent sample is necessary to accurately gauge changes, such as growth in account balances, experienced by individuals over time.

The average 401(k) plan account balance for consistent participants rose each year from 2010 through year-end 2019, with the exception of a slight decline in 2018, the brief says. Overall, the average account balance increased at a compound annual average growth rate of 15.6%, rising from $58,658 to $216,690 by the of the study period.

At year-end 2019, 33% of the consistent group had more than $200,000 in their 401(k) plan accounts at their current employers, while another 20% had between $100,000 and $200,000, the brief says. In contrast, in the broader database, 11% had accounts with more than $200,000, and 9% had between $100,000 and $200,000—highlighting the accumulation effect of ongoing 401(k) participation.

The median 401(k) plan account balance for consistent participants increased at a compound annual average growth rate of 18.8% over the period, to $108,433 at year-end 2019, the brief says. The growth in account balances for consistent participants generally exceeded the growth rate for all participants.

According to the brief, younger 401(k) participants or those with smaller balances at the end of 2010 experienced a higher percentage of growth in their account balances compared with older participants or those with larger year-end 2010 balances.

Three primary factors affect account balances, the brief says: contributions, investment returns and withdrawal and loan activity. The percent change in average 401(k) plan account balance for participants in their thirties was heavily influenced by the relative size of their contributions and increased at a compound average growth rate of 26.0% per year between year-end 2010 through 2019.

The brief says that 401(k) participants tend to concentrate their accounts in equity securities, and asset allocation for the consistent group was similar to what was seen more broadly in annual updates of the joint EBRI-Investment Company Institute 401(k) database.

On average at year-end 2019, more than two-thirds of consistent 401(k) participants’ assets were invested in equities. Equity holdings include stand-alone equity funds, the equity portion of target-date funds, the equity portion of non-target-date balanced funds and company stock, the brief says. Younger 401(k) participants tend to have higher concentrations in equities than older 401(k) participants.

Real Asset Allocations in Target-Date Funds

Real asset allocations are important for select plan participants.

Target-date fund managers can consider exposures to real estate and commodities to protect participants’ retirement assets.

Market volatility and rising inflation can erode retirement plan participants’ purchasing power, and these factors suggest that defined contribution plan sponsors should consider allocations in real assets, says Jeremy Stempien, portfolio manager and strategist at PGIM DC Solutions.

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“The biggest risk for retirees, whether it is somebody retiring today or somebody who has been retired, is their ability to protect or preserve their purchasing power,” Stempien says.   

While many TDF suites have exposure to Treasury inflation-protected securities, few have sufficient allocation to commodities and real estate, according to PGIM. Stempien explains that the biggest risk from rising inflation is for participants who are near retirement or in retirement and who will need to draw income from their DC plan.

“Inflation for retirees has actually been higher than the headline inflation that we hear about in the news and read about every day,” Stempien says. “The basket of goods and services that retirees tend to purchase has historically had a little bit of a higher inflation rate than the headline inflation figures.”

With inflation muted over the last two decades, rising prices have not been a huge risk. That has changed in 2022.

“We have seen such an enormous pick up in inflation over the past few months that it is a major threat for retirees looking to draw down income,” Stempien explains. “In response, we have built into our portfolio a number of tilts towards asset classes that have a high correlation or have a hedge towards inflation.”

The Prudential Day One TDF suite incorporates TIPS, commodities and private real estate. In combination, the exposures have helped protect investors, Stempien adds.

Morningstar data incorporated into research from PGIM show that non-traditional assets have outperformed equities and fixed income in high-inflation periods. The average return for real estate is 12.45%, while commodities return 11.19% and TIPS return 9.24%. Comparatively, bonds return 6.34% and stocks deliver 3.64%, according to the research.

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