Evaluating Outsourced Chief Investment Officers

The outsourced chief investment officer (OCIO) search is a formidable task even for experienced retirement plan committees, says Ronald Klotter, managing director of Strategic Investment Group.

But while the challenge of finding the right provider is great, so is the potential performance improvement and ease of administration that an OCIO can bring to pension plan clients, Klotter noted in a recent webinar hosted by Strategic Investment Group. Klotter and other experts predict substantial growth in OCIO mandates, and during the webinar, touched on a variety of key opportunities and challenges in the budding industry, especially among corporate defined benefit (DB) plans and not-for-profit endowments and foundations (see “OCIO Channel Gaining Steam”).

For those conducting a first-time OCIO search, Klotter suggested the first step will be to define which model of service to pursue. There are generally considered to be three segments to the OCIO market, he explained, representing “centralized,” “hybrid,” and “decentralized” mandates.

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The centralized model involves an OCIO team that runs an investment pool into which a pension plan can transfer some or all of its assets, Klotter said. The investment pool will be managed according to a set of parameters defined in advance by the OCIO provider to meet the needs of a specific set of clients—so in this sense there is less customization via the centralized OCIO approach than one might expect, Klotter noted.

“Under the centralized model, really the OCIO is running a master fund into which the client chooses to move some or all of its funds,” he explained. “In a sense this is the simplest arrangement for OCIO services, but there is less opportunity for customized mandates.”

When considering centralized OCIOs, Klotter urged pension plan fiduciaries to closely review the performance of the funds into which their assets will actually be commingled. Oftentimes centralized OCIO providers will use data from closed funds to market strong performance, he noted, but that data will not necessarily tell a corporate pension plan client how the OCIO is doing on the funds into which its assets will actually be added.

“To get around this, you can ask for things like returns by asset class, and related to that, how are the asset classes actually defined?” Klotter explained. “Also critically important is how legacy assets will be treated in a transfer to the OCIO’s master fund of funds. Only very rarely does a client come to an OCIO provider with a big bucket of cash. More often assets will need to be transferred, so that’s an important consideration as well.”

The decentralized model, on the other hand, represents what most pension plan sponsors probably picture when they think about OCIOs, Klotter noted. Often more complex and more expensive, decentralized OCIO offerings are specifically tailored to each client. 

“Under the decentralized model, each policy for each client is being fully developed and customized,” Klotter said. “While the objectives for the OCIO relationship can be customized, potentially leading to better outcomes, this type of mandate is the hardest to report on and assess.”

The main challenge in assessing decentralized OCIO service providers is that they strive to serve each customer differently. Each pension plan has a different list of assets and liabilities on the balance sheet, Klotter explained, so each will seek different services and outcomes from an OCIO. This makes it exceedingly challenging to assess how past performance data for one client will translate to another plan’s current, individual needs.

“It’s key for the plan committee to study how providers do with different types of client objectives,” he said. “And of course you'll have to define what components of the provider’s services are you going to access. Does the OCIO provider truly provide additional value in the areas you are seeking?”

The hybrid model, in turn, stands at some point between centralized and decentralized OCIO arrangement, Klotter continued. Hybrid mandates will require examination similar to both centralized and decentralized offerings.

Regardless of the service approach a pension plan committee is considering, Klotter warned of several red flags that should be watched for during the OCIO provider search. First and foremost is unwillingness or inability to share real performance data.

“In any manager search one should be careful when looking at simulated and hypothetical data, but this is especially important in the OCIO world,” Klotter said. “Actual returns are almost always better to look at, even if they are not lined up exactly with your plan’s own unique objectives.” 

Another important takeaway, Klotter said, is “read the footnotes.”

“Oftentimes I’m asked, ‘What is the most common mistake you see in the OCIO search?’” Klotter explained. “My answer is always that people too often skip reading the footnotes and the fine print. If you look at some of the reporting you get out of an OCIO provider, there’s a wealth of information in the footnotes, and it can be really surprising what’s in there.”

One distinct danger in the OCIO industry is its immaturity, Klotter said. “The OCIO industry is still young,” he explained, “so you never know how movement of staff and resources will impact your relationship with a given OCIO provider. Is it possible that the movement of people could impact the return series you are getting? You should know this.”

In concluding the webinar, Klotter warned retirement plan committees that it’s better to understand three or four OCIO firms well rather than understand only a little about 10 providers. Best practices are still being defined for the OCIO-pension plan relationship, he added, so it's important to be aware of what other clients are seeking and receiving from OCIOs. 

“It’s absolutely critical that you conduct a deep search for an OCIO,” he noted. “This means a deep dive on the investment performance for a select group of providers you have researched. Don’t be shy about asking for data. If they aren’t willing to give data—that’s a clear indicator in itself. Maybe they’ll ask you to sign a nondisclosure agreement, and that’s fine, but you should be able to get the access you need.”

Public Pensions May Need to Lower Return Assumptions

Funded ratios of public pension plans rose modestly from last year, but remain near 70% despite several strong years of post-2009 investment returns, according to Milliman.

The Milliman 2014 Public Pension Funding Study, which annually explores the funded status of the 100 largest U.S. public pension plans, found larger plans in the study tend to be better funded than the smaller plans in the study. The best funded plans, those in the top quartile of plans as measured by the sponsor-reported funded ratio, account for 34% of the aggregate sponsor-reported accrued liabilities, whereas the worst funded plans, those in the bottom quartile, account for only 18% of the aggregate sponsor-reported accrued liabilities.

This year’s study found that the gap between the accrued liability of plans as recalibrated by Milliman and the sponsor-reported accrued liability widened, from 2.6% in the Milliman 2013 Public Pension Funding Study to 3.8% in 2014. This widening gap in liability mirrors a corresponding widening between the investment return assumptions reported by the plans in the study relative to Milliman’s independently determined investment return assumptions.

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While 13 of the 100 plans in the study have lowered their reported investment return assumptions since the Milliman 2013 Public Pension Funding Study, most plans in the study have left their investment return assumptions unchanged. The median investment return assumption reported by the plans decreased from 8% in the 2012 study to 7.75% in the 2013 study, and it remains at 7.75% in the 2014 study. Meanwhile, Milliman sees market consensus views on long-term future investment returns continuing to decline, so its median independently determined investment return assumption decreased from 7.65% in the 2012 study to 7.47% in the 2013 study and to 7.34% in the 2014 study. In aggregate, this suggests that for many plans that have not recently lowered their reported assumptions, some decrease in the investment return assumption may be appropriate, Milliman says.

The plans in the study reported aggregate accrued liabilities of $3.88 trillion for the nearly 25 million members covered by the plans. This total breaks down into $1.61 trillion for the 12.5 million plan members who are still working plus $2.27 trillion for the 12.1 million plan members who are retired and receiving benefits or who have stopped working but have not yet started collecting their pensions. Milliman notes that over the past three years, the number of active members has been fairly stable while the number of retired and inactive members has climbed steadily.

While the aggregate 2014 investment allocation is 73% in non-fixed-income classes and 27% in fixed income, there is considerable investment allocation variation from plan to plan. Milliman found a low correlation between reported funded ratios and the percentage of non-fixed-income assets.

The Milliman 2014 Public Pension Funding Study report is here.

 

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