LDI 2.0

Defined benefit plan sponsors are branching out from the traditional equity/bond liability-driven investing (LDI) portfolio, adding diversification as well as addressing short-term cash flow needs.
Traditional liability-driven investing (LDI) for defined benefit (DB) plans involved moving assets from equities to fixed income—usually bonds—as the funded status of the plan grew. The idea was to preserve the funded status that was reached while trying to continue to improve it with return generating investment vehicles.

However, Conning’s Annual Pension Review 2018 found that in the last few years, most of the shift out of equities was a move to asset classes other than fixed income. The report says, “A large part of the equity drawdown has been reinvested in alternatives and real assets, with smaller plans leading the charge.”

Sean Kurian, a managing director and head of institutional solutions at Conning, based in New York City, says it’s not that LDI is lacking, but plan sponsors are evolving in their understanding from “LDI 1.0,” as he calls it. “There’s a better appreciation of risk in interest rates and what plan sponsors can invest in to get a better match of assets and liabilities,” he says.

Get more!  Sign up for PLANSPONSOR newsletters.

Kurian explains that for a DB plan to get out of a deficit, there are only two ways: make contributions to the plan or get returns. By investing in alternatives and real assets, plan sponsors can increase diversification. Just investing in equities is a concentrated risk position.

“A sophisticated hedge fund strategy or private equity investment may outperform traditional equities,” he says. “The way we think about portfolio construction for pension plans is to have a hedge portfolio focused on managing liability risk, then have a return-seeking portion that creates excess returns vs liabilities—just don’t put all your eggs in one basket.”

Kurian adds that diversification means the overall return seeking portion of the portfolio may be more profitable; however, it may just mean a 5% or 10% move from traditional equity. It’s not a large allocation shift on an individual plan-by-plan basis.

Chris McGoldrick, head of defined benefit delegated investment solutions at Willis Towers Watson, based in Philadelphia, agrees that it’s not that “LDI 1.0” is not working, it is just not working as efficiently as it could, driving plan sponsors to be quick to move to respond to changing market conditions.

Willis Towers Watson advocates for a “total portfolio strategy”—instead of thinking about each asset class separately, think about how they work together. Plan sponsors should think about the interplay between asset return and hedging to maximize outcomes

Like Kurian, McGoldrick says this means more diversification. “In the return seeking part of the portfolio, investors think if they diversify between equity managers, they are diversified,” he says. “But, they need to think about other asset classes—high yield bank loans, credit, real estate investment trusts (REITs), infrastructure, hedge funds and alternative beta hedge fund type strategies.” McGoldrick adds that these asset types are not as correlated with the equity market or corporate growth and will perform well in different markets.

“On the fixed income side, it depends on the DB plan’s liability and how well-funded it is,” McGoldrick says. “Plan sponsors should think about more than high credit bonds. They should be more efficient and think about government exposures or Treasury Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal of Securities (STRIPs).”

A Willis Towers Watson Insights article says, “For plan sponsors, the acceptable range of portfolio outcomes, and consequently the appropriate sizing of various return drivers, is a function of plan characteristics and objectives. A fully funded, frozen plan considering annuitization in the near term will have a lower return objective and will need less exposure to return drivers with greater variability than a poorly funded plan attempting to close a deficit over the long term. The shorter the time horizon, or the lower the return objective, the greater the need for diversification.”

According to McGoldrick, “Another thing to keep in mind is a plan’s changing liability profile. It will change over time as retirees start getting payouts. Plan sponsors need a strategy to adjust to that, and it has to be done in a risk-controlled way to avoid surprises”

That’s why Kurian warns that DB plan sponsors have to be careful to not overload on return-seeking investments because they also don’t want to be a seller in a bad market when they need liquidity to pay retirees. However, he notes that while liquidity needs will increase as retirees withdraw, plans may not have a large liquidity need if they structure their hedging portfolios more directly against liability cashflows.

According to Jeff Whitehead, head of client investment solutions at Aegon, based in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, with many pension plans facing the challenge of meeting regular cash flow requirements, cash flow-driven investing (CDI) is growing in popularity. He explains that CDI is an investment approach focused on delivering a consistent, reliable stream of cash flow to meet the obligations of an organization and plan sponsors may want to consider a CDI solution to meet short-term cash flow needs.

“For plan sponsors, the need is the same: a programmatic and systematic approach to meet current and future liabilities,” Whitehead says. “However, different cash flow needs require tailored cash flow solutions and cash flow-driven investing is an option because it is highly customized.” He explains that no two CDI portfolios should be identical, and each CDI portfolio can be tailored to specific circumstances, taking into consideration cash-flow predictability, expected contributions, risk tolerance, liquidity needs, tax considerations and the overall objective of the portfolio.

According to Whitehead, the best use of CDI for corporate plans is in conjunction with LDI. He says, especially for plans approaching fully funded status—whether the plan sponsor intends to keep the plan in hibernation or is ultimately planning for a full risk transfer—plan sponsors need to focus on the plan’s funded status and having CDI on the front end can be helpful.

“I think CDI works for other plans as well, especially for public funds or multiemployer plans, church plans, hospitals—any plan that doesn’t discount at the AA rate. Many of these plans are not as well-funded and tend to focus more on their expected return on assets,” he adds.

CDI creates enough cash flow month-by-month or quarter-by-quarter to fund expected outflows so investment committees don’t have to do that every quarter or whenever they meet. Whitehead explains that with CDI, a laddered portfolio is created to provide cash flows that mature at the right times to meet outflows. “You’re trying to have the right amount of money every month or quarter so payments can be paid without ever having to sell assets,” he says.

“DB plan sponsors don’t want to be a forced seller in a chaotic market. If they use CDI, they decide when to sell assets. They can sell stocks when they desire,” Whitehead adds.

CDI can be tailored to different situations. For example, if a plan has far more retirees than active or terminated, vested participants, it is more cash flow negative needs more money. Other plans may not need as much.

In conjunction with LDI, CDI is part of the fixed income allocation. Whitehead explains that the more CDI plan sponsors use, the more duration they will have to get from the LDI portfolio to match liabilities. For example, if the liability duration of the plan is 12 years and the plan sponsor uses a portion of the fixed income allocation for CDI, it will have to use longer duration vehicles to match the 12 years.

“LDI continues to evolve, and after the financial crisis [of 2008/2009], most thought of using long duration bonds to hedge interest rates. Through the years, DB plans have become more sophisticated and better-funded, and plan sponsors realize there are better ways to hedge,” Whitehead says. “CDI is another step along the journey that makes matching liabilities better. CDI in conjunction with LDI matches short-term cash flow needs while maintaining protection for needs further out.”

Lawmakers Demand Help for Union Pensions

The former Republican Speaker of the House has teamed up with former Representative Joe Crowley to advocate for a solution to the union multiemployer pension funding crisis.

Former House Speaker John Boehner and former Congressman Joe Crowley recently announced the launch of the Retirement Security Coalition.

According to Boehner and Crowley, who hails from New York and served as a Chairman of the House Democratic Caucus during his time in Congress, the Coalition is made up of a diverse group of employers, labor unions and policy experts “dedicated to finding a common-ground solution to the multiemployer pension crisis in America.”

Never miss a story — sign up for PLANSPONSOR newsletters to keep up on the latest retirement plan benefits news.

The two announced their new advocacy effort shortly after the Ways and Means Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives marked up and voted along party lines to advance a bill formally called the Rehabilitation for Multiemployer Pensions Act, setting the stage for full floor consideration and the amendment process. The bill has also been colloquially referred to as the Butch Lewis Act, recognizing the late former president of Teamsters Local 100.

As passed by the committee, the Act would provide funds for 30-year loans and new financial assistance, in the form of grants, to financially troubled multiemployer pension plans. According to the text of the legislation, the program is designed to “operate primarily over the next 30 years.”

During the committee debate, Democrats, led by current Chairman Richard Neal of Massachusetts, generally voiced strong support for the Act. They suggest that the dire financial situation faced by some multiemployer pension systems is chiefly due to the Great Recession and long-lasting market challenges that have particularly harmed manufacturing and other blue-collar industries. They say economic conditions in the last two decades have forced many employers that offer these pensions to go insolvent themselves, which in turn left the multiemployer pension plans with fewer and more financially stressed contributing employers.

Republicans, on the other hand, led by Ranking Member Kevin Brady of Texas, were quick to cite their worries about ongoing mismanagement and even maleficence on the part of union leaders and pension trustees. They argue a loan program will do nothing to solve the underlying problems that weakened many of the plans to begin with, and they commonly use the term “bailout” to describe the program.

Boehner and Crowley Weigh In

Asked for their assessment on the current state of affairs, Boehner and Crowley tell PLANSPONSOR the multiemployer pension crisis must be solved quickly. Every day it grows more severe, they warn, leading to real-world consequences for union workers and retirees who have fully held up their end of the pension bargain.

“We are here to sound the alarm and say that we need to all come together to solve this problem and to protect the hard-earned retirement futures of millions of Americans,” Boehner says. “From New York to Ohio and across the country, hundreds of thousands of retirees and workers are already facing deep cuts to their pensions, and if we don’t change course, families will be devastated.”

“If the pension system in this country isn’t stabilized and it continues on its current trajectory, then millions of workers and families will suffer,” Crowley adds. “The impact will have a ripple effect on our national economy and communities across America.”

Asked for their take on the Butch Lewis Act in particular, Crowley shares the following: “There are a lot of solutions being offered. What John Boehner and I are doing is bringing attention to this crisis. What it’s going to take will be the public sector and the private sector working together to find a solution, and it may take some political courage to address some of these issues. I think that’s really what’s been holding this up. I think now, though, with the new Congress, with divided government in the House and Senate, there may be an opportunity here to see something really worked and engaged on.”

Boehner generally agrees with that assessment, noting there are dozens of feasible ideas being discussed and that it very well could require a combinations of ideas to provide stability to these plans.

“What I and Congressman Crowley and others involved in this Coalition are doing is trying to make people aware of how serious this crisis is and to encourage the public and private sectors to come together sooner rather than later to find a bipartisan, bicameral solution that achieves a good outcome,” Boehner says. “Congress has attempted several times to find a solution. I think what’s different now is the urgency there is to find a solution and find one now.”

Asked what they see as the potential outcome if no solution is reached in the near term, the former House members say the consequences will be dire, both for the union pensioners as well as the broader economy and the U.S. retirement system.

“This problem is getting worse,” Boehner says. “It’s urgent that action be taken, and the sooner the better, because the longer this problem goes on, the bigger the crisis is going to get. If action isn’t taken, millions of Americans are going to lose a significant portion of their retirement benefits, it’s going to affect state and local revenue, it’s going to affect the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation—and we’re going to have a real crisis on our hands.”

Crowley echoes the concern about the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation.

“The funding backstop for plans that have run out of money is projected to collapse by 2025,” Crowley observes. “The pension crisis does not only affect millions of people in multiemployer pension plans, it has broad implications that impact our economic interests and affect retirees, taxpayers, and Americans just entering the workforce. There’s a boomerang effect here if something isn’t done.”

Union Pensions Have Economic Power

Offering some context to this discussion, a recent report from the National Institute on Retirement Security (NIRS) shows spending from retirees that receive income from multiemployer pension plans significantly helps the overall U.S. economy. However, this support could be diminished or even turned into an economic drag if the multiemployer pension crisis is not resolved.

According to the report, the average benefit paid to retirees out of such plans was $11,935 a year as of 2016. In total, these benefits resulted in $89 billion in economic output and $50 billion in value added to the gross domestic product (GDP), according to the NIRS.

The analysis suggests pension income creates a “ripple effect, as one person’s expenditures become another person’s income.”

For example, NIRS says, “A retired carpenter uses his pension money to buy a new lawnmower. As a result of that purchase, the owner of the hardware store, the lawnmower salesman and each of the companies involved in the production of the lawnmower all see an increase in income and spend the additional income. These companies hire additional employees as a result of this increased business, and those new employees spend their paychecks in the local economy.”

In fact, NIRS says, for every dollar in multiemployer pension benefits paid out in 2016, $2.13 in total economic output was supported.

«