Household Retirement Readiness Drops to Fair From Good

The Fidelity Investments assessment of retirement readiness peaked in 2020 and has since declined, research shows.  

American households’ retirement readiness declined by five points last year to 78 from 83—after reaching an apex in 2020—signifying savers have accumulated 78% of the income needed to cover retirement costs in a down market, according to new Fidelity Investments research.

The Fidelity Investments Retirement Savings Assessment measures a household’s ability to cover estimated retirement expenses in a down market, with a participant’s savings for retirement scored from 0 to 150 and above.   

Never miss a story — sign up for PLANSPONSOR newsletters to keep up on the latest retirement plan benefits news.

Two primary factors driving the drop are that individuals are saving less for retirement and investing more conservatively, stated the report. 

American savers continue to navigate through uncertainty and as a result may reduce saving for retirement, Rita Assaf, vice president of retirement at Fidelity Investments, stated in a press release.

The research finds 52% of households may need to make modest to significant adjustments to their expected lifestyle in retirement if they don’t act to make up for the savings shortage. One-third (34%) of households are in the red zone on the preparedness spectrum, meaning significant adjustments likely are needed to avoid a major savings shortfall.

“More than one-third (34%) in the red on the preparedness spectrum means many Americans are not on target with their retirement savings and will need to make significant adjustments to their retirement lifestyle if they don’t take action to make up for the shortage,” Assaf ads via email. “This would include essentials expenses, such as the cost of housing, health care expenses, and food: what you need to fully cover necessary daily living expenses in retirement. It would also include discretionary expenses such as travel, getting a gym membership, pursuing a few hobbies, etc.”

On the other hand, 48% of households are accumulating retirement savings that will be sufficient to cover at least their essential expense in retirement.

Fidelity figures for Americans’ retirement preparedness show the household changes to 2022, from 2020:

  • 34% of households were in the red in 2022, compared to 28% in 2022.
  • 18% of households were in the yellow zone in 2022 the figure was flat from in 2020.
  • 16% of households were in the green zone in 2022, compared to 17% 2020; and.
  • 32% of households were in the dark green zone in 2022, compared to 37% in 2020.

The assessment uses colors that equate to specific levels of retirement preparedness. Scores from zero to 64, in red, mean needs attention; 65 to 80 represent a fair level of readiness; 80 to 95, in light green, are in a good state of readiness; and dark green participant scores of 96 and above are on target to cover expenses in retirement, the research shows.  

The retirement readiness dip drove the overall assessment down to fair—colored yellow, from good represented in green—research shows.   

Although Americans have more money saved for retirement across generations of workers—account balances have increased by an average of $40,000—Millennials since 2020, the research shows.

Contrarily, Gen Xers increased their savings rate 1.4%, Fidelity finds.

“When it comes to long-term investing, staying focused on your individual goals is critical,” stated Assaf. “Having a plan in place is one solid way to help weather any storm, as we’ve seen the last few years and weeks with the pandemic, inflation and market volatility.”

Fidelity’s savings assessment is calculated by data from Fidelity’s proprietary financial planning engine, the research stated.

Data for the Fidelity Investments Retirement Savings Assessment were collected through a national online survey of 3,569 working households earning at least $25,000 annually with respondents ages 25 to 75, from August 22 through September 26, 2022. All respondents expect to retire at some point and have already started saving for retirement.

Data collection was completed by Versta Research using NORC’s probability-based nationally representative online panel.

Fed Continues Inflation Fight Despite Banking Failures

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says the FOMC remains 'strongly committed to bringing inflation back down to our 2% goal.'

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee on Wednesday announced it would be raising rates by 25 basis points, from 4.75% to 5%. The announcement sent stocks down on the day, with indexes closing off between 1.6% and more than 2.8%.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell strongly emphasized the Fed’s commitment to reducing inflation to 2%. During today’s press conference, Powell said, “We will do enough to bring inflation down to 2%. Nobody should doubt that.”

For more stories like this, sign up for the PLANSPONSOR NEWSDash daily newsletter.

The process of getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go and is likely to be bumpy,” Powell said.

Powell also acknowledged in a statement that, “in the past two weeks, serious difficulties at a small number of banks have emerged.” In the Fed’s FOMC statement, it said “recent developments,” referring to the same banking failures, can tighten access to credit. The Fed announced it will be monitoring these developments and their impact on inflation and other metrics when considering future rate increases.

The FOMC statement also reiterated that, “The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2% objective.”

At today’s press conference, Powell said government spending is not a large driver of inflation today, as it was during the pandemic. But in any case, Powell said he does not give advice to fiscal policymakers, and fiscal policy is something that he has to take as it comes at him.

John Lowell, a partner at October Three, an actuarial consulting firm, says, “If I were a pension sponsor right now, I don’t think I would be making any changes,” because many other market actors saw this coming and had already accounted for it. Lowell explained that increased rates generally are not good for investment returns, bonds especially, but 25 bps—which most market watchers anticipated—should not change anything drastically. He added that he would be far more concerned about the recent banking failures.

Jan Szilagyi, CEO and co-founder of Toggle, an AI-powered market analytics platform, agrees that the Fed’s move is not a big shock to markets, but it does establish that the Fed is still clearly in “inflation-fighting” mode. By “staying the course,” the Fed is also signaling that “there isn’t something ominous the Fed knows that markets may not be aware of.”

 

«