Increased Credit Card Debt Poses Threat to Emergency and Retirement Savings

Nearly half of the respondents to a LendingTree survey said they are living paycheck-to-paycheck.

Saving for retirement or maintaining an emergency savings fund has become an afterthought for the large share of Americans dealing with credit card debt and struggling to make ends meet, according to experts at LendingTree.

After surveying more than 2,000 U.S. consumers between ages 18 and 77 in February, LendingTree found that 64% are living paycheck-to-paycheck, at least periodically. Almost half, 46%, of the surveyed population live this way all the time.

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Even if people are not living paycheck-to-paycheck, many Americans have very little discretionary income, as 35% reported having less than $100 of discretionary spending money per month after covering all their financial obligations, according to LendingTree’s survey.

Because of rising inflation and uncertain economic times, Matt Schulz, chief credit analyst for LendingTree, says it is especially difficult for people to focus on saving for events in the distant future, including retirement.

“Most people’s financial margin for error is so small, which leaves less money for savings, whether it’s an emergency fund or retirement,” Schulz says. “I don’t think there’s any question that people are considering borrowing from their retirement savings to help them make ends meet as inflation rises.”

As a sign of the monthly financial pressures that consumers face, credit card balances increased by $61 billion to reach $986 billion in the fourth quarter of 2022, according to the Federal Reserve, surpassing the pre-pandemic high of $927 billion. Auto loan balances also increased by $28 billion in Q4 2022, continuing an upward trajectory that has developed since 2011.

Credit bureau Experian reported that members of Generation X had the highest credit card debt of any generation in 2022 at an average of $8,134.

Almost half of LendingTree’s respondents said they have been unable to cover a primary bill with the money in their bank accounts at least once since inflation began rising in 2021, and 58% of those people said they used credit cards to make ends meet at least once.

LendingTree also found that discretionary income varies with age. While nearly one in four Baby Boomers (ages 59 to 77) reported having more than $1,000 in monthly discretionary income, only 14% or 15% of Gen Zers (18 to 26), Millennials (27 to 42) and Gen Xers (43 to 58) said the same.

Most survey respondents said they have between $100 and $499 in discretionary income, leaving little wiggle room for an emergency fund.

The SECURE 2.0 Act of 2022 included a new provision that allows plan sponsors to offer short-term emergency savings accounts as part of a defined contribution plan.

Contributions to the emergency savings account are capped at $2,500 or a lower amount determined by the plan sponsor. Participants are allowed to take at least one withdrawal per month, and the first four withdrawals per year cannot be subject to fees.

While this provision only becomes effective in 2024, Schulz says plan sponsors should consider anything that would help people build their emergency funds.

“Having emergency savings is really key to helping people break the cycle of debt that so many people find themselves in,” Schulz says. “If you pay off your credit card debt and have no emergency savings, the next time you have to take your dog to the vet or get a car repair, chances are that expense is just going to go back on your credit card.”

According to LendingTree, 60% of respondents said they do not have three months’ worth of living expenses saved in an emergency fund, and 19% said they do not earn enough money to even try.

Even though Gen Zers live paycheck-to-paycheck more than any other generation, LendingTree’s survey found that they are the most optimistic about their financial habits, as 90% of the youngest surveyed generation feel at least somewhat confident in their ability to pay their bills each month.

Schulz says this optimism may partially come from the fact that a lot of Gen Zers are still living with their parents or receiving financial support from their parents.

A recent study from Retirement Investments ,a financial services company, found that one in five parents have sacrificed their own retirement savings to help support their children, and two in five still have adult children living at home. In addition, 60% said they do not think their child will become financially independent in 2023.

Schulz adds that Gen Zers are also at a stage of life where they are hopeful about the future and have everything in front of them, whereas Millennials, Gen Xers and Boomers have likely experienced more financial chaos in their lives. Millennials are also more likely to be in the process of buying a house or starting a family, which both come with hefty costs.

However, Schulz notes that student loan debt is a significant burden on younger generations, and the student loan payment pause over the last few years has allowed people to focus more on paying off other types of debts and bolstering their savings.

Once student loan payments resume, Schulz says some people who are currently able to pay off their credit card debt may run into trouble.

LendingTree commissioned Qualtrics to conduct its online survey of 2,011 U.S. consumers ages 18 to 77 from February 21 to 24, 2023.

2023 DB Summit: Factors in DB Plan Decisionmaking

To keep the defined benefit plans active or not? That is the question for many plan sponsors.

High interest rates have made it a good time for some defined benefit plan sponsors to transfer pension risk, but a liquidity pinch may be delaying or altogether shutting off the window, according to experts who spoke at PLANSPONSOR’s virtual DB Summit last week.

The interest rate hikes, which the Federal Reserve started about a year ago to try and tame inflation, have brought present liability down for many plans, said Gloria Griesinger, assistant treasurer for global pension investments and M&A support at Cummins Inc. If sponsors were invested conservatively enough not to be hit too badly by market downturns, they may be in a good position to transfer their participant obligations to an insurer, she said.

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“In some cases, if your assets were invested properly—faster than then your assets went down—you’re in a good position to do a risk transfer,” Griesinger said during the webinar called Factors in DB Plan Decisionmaking.

Total risk transfers hit a record in 2022, according to LIMRA, an insurance industry association. Total U.S. single premium buy-out sales hit $48.3 billion last year, up 42% from 2021, according to the Windsor, Connecticut-based association.

Some defined benefit plan sponsors, however, are in a tough spot if they are looking to do a transfer, as they do not have enough liquidity to fund the transaction, according to Griesinger.

“You can’t do it if you don’t have liquidity,” she said. “And if you’ve been aggressively investing, sometimes in doing more less-liquid private market assets, those have been really hit because of the turmoil in the markets.”

It has been much more difficult, Griesinger said, to get good valuations on those investments to sell them into the secondary market without taking a loss.

“There’s a glut right now,” she said. “There’s great value if you’re a buyer, but there’s a lot of difficulty if you’re a seller, and you’d have to be willing to take those haircuts in order to come up with the cash so you can do the risk transfer.”

As recently as March 7, the Fed signaled further aggressive rate hikes this year, with job gains outpacing expectations as of Friday—which would suggest more tightening. Over the weekend, however, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank has some experts predicting a slowdown of hikes to ease stress in the markets.

SVB’s woes were due in part to holding long-term bonds locked in at lower returns that have since lost their value due to rising interest rates, according to ratings agency Moody’s. On Sunday, the Department of the Treasury said it was “fully protecting” all depositors in the bank through a protective fund fed into by other banks called the Deposit Insurance Fund—not via taxpayers.

Risk Averse

The SVB circumstances are likely to continue volatility in the markets that will have plan sponsors considering their specific situation when it comes to pension risk transfers. Up to now, many DB plan holders have been considering transfers such as insurance annuity lift-outs or lump-sum-window payouts, Jeff Witt, a principal at Groom Law Group, said during Wednesday’s summit.

“What we’re seeing, even on an administrative and plan design side, is that companies are addressing risk transfer to minimize volatility and move their financial statements from a benefit program that may not be their core business,” Witt said.

For open defined benefit plans, some companies have decided to stop admitting participants and to freeze the plan for when they can find a good time to transfer. At that point, Dewitt says, financial management becomes critical, as plan sponsors need to act in a timely way, but one that also takes into account a long, 12 to 24 month window for a plan to terminate. 

“You need to have everything ready so that when you get to a friendly financial environment, you are receptive to taking these actions, and you’re able to do it in the right way,” he said.

A crucial part of being prepared, according to Griesinger, is having clean data on the participant pool and assets. “If the data is not clean, you can’t do it, or it’s going to take more time or a [hit] on the pricing,” she said. “The insurance companies are not going to want to take on the risks of your data, or they’ll just walk away.”

Witt added that when a participant hits age 65, they get a notice from the Social Security Administration advising them that they are entitled to a benefit from the plan, often called a “pot of gold.” That, in turn, will trigger retirees coming to the company asking for their benefits—a trend, he notes, that is likely to increase as more Baby Boomers reach retirement age.

“For a lot of my clients, especially if you’ve had plans that have gone through acquisitions, or you did an acquisition … there may not be a clean trail,” Witt said.

All pension plans will have some data issues, he noted, but fiduciaries and companies can work to ensure their data is in the best shape possible.

Pros and Cons

Overall, Griesinger noted that it is hard to argue for maintaining a defined benefit plan these days. It is a difficult proposition when considering the multiple parties needed, both internally and externally, to design and administer the plan, as well as dealing with regulatory oversight and potential audits from the DOL and IRs, she said.

“That’s a burden, and it’s a burden that so many companies, because of cutbacks and slowing things down, just are not prepared to handle,” she said. “If you’re a company that prides itself on rotating people through positions, and you don’t have that expertise to figure out [long-term complications], … why have a DB plan?”

Witt, who agreed with Griesinger, did not some positives to DB plans. He said that sponsors can offer a plan without paying as much upfront as you’re not funding it dollar for dollar as in a profit-sharing contribution, but paying it out at a later date. It can also ensure that participants have a steady income in retirement, something that, thought he DC world is trying hard to implement, is often not taken or wanted by participants, particularly when they are younger.

“When your employees are in their 20s 30s and 40s, they really don’t appreciate the defined benefit plan,” he said. “But once they start getting to their late 40s and 50s and start seeing retirement on the horizon, all of a sudden, that carries tremendous value … all of a sudden, at that point, they realize the value of that pension of saying, ‘Hey, I’m going get $1,000, or $2,000 a month for the rest of my life when I retire?’ That’s a big benefit.”

In the end, though, both experts see retirement income being solved within various options in DC plans..

“Thanks to new tools and evolutions, there are options we can now have in DC plans that will provide for lifetime income,” Griesinger said, noting in-plan annuity options may be chosen by plan participants or offered as a default option. “We can do things to help lower-earning employees prepare for retirement, and if you take that and you couple it with the fact that there’s a lot of portability in DCs, … there’s a lot of things that we are—and I do believe Congress is—trying to do to look out for plan participants to have a secure retirement.”

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