Investing Opportunities Created by the Pandemic

Experts discussed how a rise in health care digitalization and increased consumer demand for sustainability could lead to new opportunities.

A Franklin Templeton webinar reviewed investment options in a post-pandemic society, focusing specifically on the future of the health care sector and environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing. The latest edition of the “Mega Trends Accelerate” webcast series also discussed whether the current climate signals the start of a new market and how the pandemic has redefined investing.

Zehrid Osmani, a portfolio manager focused on global equities at investment manager Martin Currie, said technological advances in the health care sector have positioned the industry for long-term growth.

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“The medical technology industry across the globe offers attractive opportunities, sucah as the health care software space,” he said during the panel. “We also think tailored software for drug development and commercialization and personalized therapeutics are likely to do well in this space and potentially offer high-growth returns.”

An ongoing trend of more people using telemedicine—in addition to the advent of remote monitoring devices including heart monitors, glucose monitors and other non-invasive tools—has created an increase in the “digitalization of health care,” Osmani said.

“This can take the shape of telemedicine improving the speed of triage, as well as convenience and efficiency in managing low-acuity patients,” he explained. “In addition, the use of remote monitoring devices, which can improve patients’ adherence to treatment and intervene in medical care before expensive exacerbations requiring hospital care occur” could also lead to more opportunities for investing in health care technology.

Osmani said he anticipates a rapid increase of such innovations in emerging markets. “Structurally, it means that emerging markets health care spend could achieve teens level of growth over the next decade, compared to mid-single-digit growth for developed markets,” he added.

Bonnie Wongtrakool, global head of ESG investments and a portfolio manager at Western Asset Management, spoke about the rise of ESG investing and how the pandemic contributed to its growth. Even as interest in ESG investing increases among investors and consumers, Wongtrakool said supportive government policy and regulations will be required to improve standards and implementation.

“Performance still varies quite widely across issuers and across sectors,” she said. “We need reinforcement from policymakers to broaden and accelerate the positive movements we’ve seen post-pandemic.”

Sara Araghi, a research analyst, portfolio manager and head of the consumer sector for Franklin Equity Group, said changing consumer behaviors are also impacting industry trends. For example, she cited a 2019 survey by Hotwire that found 47% of consumers had changed their shopping habits because a company had violated their personal values. “Consumers are increasingly paying attention to sustainability and societal issues, which is reflected in product demand trends,” she said.

Now, she added, to appeal to shifting expectations, more firms are adjusting their processes. “Footwear companies, for example, are reducing their carbon footprint and denim manufacturers are reducing water usage,” Araghi explained. “Manufacturers are reviewing what countries their manufacturing operations are based in, resulting in impacts on supply chain and labor.”

The panelists said another key factor in the changing landscape is the Biden administration’s approach to the climate and racial equity. The administration is generally supportive of implementing policies to address those issues, which aligns with ESG investors’ interests, Wongtrakool said. This in turn could help ESG investing develop further, especially if the government can achieve its 2035 electricity decarbonization goal, she continued.

“We’ll be watching for details on the administration’s clean energy standards and climate finance strategy, which will have ripple effects through the economy—as well as the evolution of carbon pricing both here and abroad,” Wongtrakool said.

More Retirement-Related Legislation Introduced

The spate of recent proposals aims to help Americans not only with retirement savings but also with financial wellness issues.

U.S. Senator John Kennedy, R-Louisiana, has introduced two retirement-related bills—the Keeping Your Retirement Act and the Increasing Retirement Amount Act.

The Keeping Your Retirement Act would raise the required minimum distribution (RMD) age from 72 to 75 for certain retirement accounts. The Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement (SECURE) Act, passed in December 2019, changed the age for RMDs to begin from 70.5 to 72.

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Kennedy says in a press release, “These premature withdrawals can unnecessarily shrink people’s hard-earned savings.” He contends that the legislation would give Americans more time for their retirement savings to grow before they have to take withdrawals.

In addition, Kennedy says, RMDs increase the taxable income of seniors who are still working, which might push some seniors into higher income brackets and potentially increase their tax liability.

The Increasing Retirement Amount Act would allow individuals who do not have access to a workplace retirement plan to save more money for retirement by increasing the individual retirement account (IRA) contribution limit to $12,000 per year. The legislation would increase the IRA contribution limit to $15,000 per year for individuals who are at least 50 years old and who do not have a workplace retirement plan.

Kennedy notes that under current law, Americans cannot contribute more than $6,000 per year to their IRAs, whether or not their employers offer a retirement plan. According to his press release, in 2017, 50% of IRA owners who contributed to traditional IRAs made the maximum contribution. As of March 2020, 29% of American workers did not have access to a retirement plan through their employers.

The bills introduced by Kennedy are just the latest in a growing list of retirement- and financial wellness-related proposals from lawmakers.

Near the end of last year, lawmakers proposed the Securing a Strong Retirement Act, which also includes an increase in the RMD starting age, as well as new automatic enrollment requirements and catch-up contribution changes. The proposed legislation has been dubbed “SECURE 2.0,” as it builds on the SECURE Act legislation, with provisions to allow 403(b) plans to include collective investment trusts (CITs) as investment options and to allow for 403(b) pooled employer plans (PEPs), a 401(k) plan type created by the SECURE Act.

Laws to enhance retirement security for Americans seem to be one thing lawmakers from both sides can agree on. SECURE 2.0 received a rare unanimous affirmative voice vote by the House Ways and Means Committee.

In May, a bipartisan trio of senators introduced a bill called the Improving Access to Retirement Savings Act, which, among other goals, would extend new retirement plan choices to nonprofit groups and expand/clarify incentives to encourage small businesses to offer plans to their employees. The legislation parallels, but does not exactly match SECURE 2.0.

New legislation isn’t just focused on retirement savings. There have also been recent proposals that aim to help Americans get more financially secure to free up money for retirement savings.

SECURE 2.0 includes a provision that would permit an employer to make matching contributions under a 401(k) plan, 403(b) plan or SIMPLE IRA with respect to “qualified student loan payments.”

Earlier this month, Senators James Lankford, R-Oklahoma, and Michael Bennet, D-Colorado, both members of the Senate Finance Committee, introduced the Enhancing Emergency and Retirement Savings Act of 2021. The bill aims to help families save for retirement and prepare for emergencies at the same time. It would encourage participation in retirement plans by giving individuals penalty-free access to funds should an emergency arise.

Retirement-related legislation has enjoyed bipartisan support over the years and, in more than a decade, there has rarely been a time when some proposal to enhance retirement security is not pending in Congress. However, some people could speculate that this new spate of proposed legislation is driven in part by the financial troubles Americans experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic.

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