Investors Continue Search for Fixed-Income Yield

Finding yield remains a top consideration for investors choosing fixed-income investments, according to a new survey from Franklin Templeton Investments.

While the search for yield is top of mind for most U.S. fixed-income investors, Franklin Templeton’s research shows three in four (74%) are concerned about how rising rates will impact their portfolio in the months or years ahead. The findings are from “Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Pulse.”

Key findings from the survey show respondents’ concerns are fueled by historically and persistently low levels of U.S. interest rates, which translate into lower yields offered on the typical fixed-income investment. Importantly, 71% of investors believe interest rates will be higher in 2016; however, less than half of respondents fully grasp the relationship between interest rates and bond prices, Franklin Templeton researchers note. In fact, fewer than half (48%) of those polled correctly stated that bond prices tend to go down when interest rates go up. 

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A vast majority (94%) of investors say risk management is also an important factor when choosing a fixed-income investment or manager. Furthermore, the survey report finds 70% of respondents are invested in actively managed fixed-income funds, likely to help address the risks presented by rising interest rates and other challenging market factors.

As the report explains, investors are particularly concerned about an anticipated increase in the 10-year Treasury rate. These treasury notes form a significant component of many longer-term bond portfolios held by investors today, Franklin Templeton explains. Should the 10-year Treasury rate rise, many longer-term bond portfolios held by investors today can likely be expected to decline in value, the research suggests.

So what is a traditional fixed-income investor to do? Michael Hasenstab, chief investment officer for global bonds at Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group, says it is time for investors to “think outside traditional boxes.”

“It’s our conviction that we are at the end of a 30-year decline in interest rates,” Hasenstab says. “We need to prepare for the next decade when interest rates will likely be rising, and we believe an attractive alternative is a portfolio that is actively managed, global and unconstrained.”

Ed Perks, chief investment officer of Franklin Equity Group, suggests the current environment makes a strong case for active management for fixed-income portfolios. 

“Fixed-income investors need to understand that if they choose passive investments such as index funds, they are essentially choosing to follow the herd,” he says. “That means buying what’s popular and selling what may be only temporarily out of favor, rather than actually evaluating whether issues are overbought or present true bargains. 

“There is nobody at the helm looking forward and evaluating, for example, whether a rise in rates is a brief spike or the beginning of a longer-term trend,” Perks adds. 

Additional key survey findings show 60% of investors stated they had roughly half or more of their investments currently in fixed income. Over half of those surveyed stated their financial adviser, either in the workplace or hired independently, was their primary source of financial information on this and other financial topics.

Franklin Templeton’s fixed income survey, conducted by Qualtrics, included a sample of 525 U.S. investors aged 25 and older with $100,000 or more in investable assets, excluding the value of their home. In addition, respondents all owned investments in fixed-income securities. The survey was completed online from October 6 to October 8.

Additional findings of the fixed-income survey are presented here.

Retirement Savings Delays Quickly Add Up

Research from the Insured Retirement Institute (IRI) shows postponing retirement plan salary deferrals by five to 10 years can reduce total retirement income by nearly 25%.

IRI researchers found that a worker contributing 10% of income annually to a retirement plan beginning at age 35, rather than age 30, will receive 11% less in annuitized retirement income. Over the course of a 25-year retirement, the reduced income adds up to $62,000, according to the IRI. If saving for retirement is postponed to age 40, income will be reduced by 23%, totaling $127,000 over a 25-year retirement.

“There’s no lost and found for retirement savings,” says IRI President and CEO Cathy Weatherford. “When saving for retirement is delayed, the benefits of compounding interest are gone and can never be reclaimed.”

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Delaying retirement will only partially recover lost savings and may not even be feasible for some workers, Weatherford says. “And those who believe they can simply save a higher percentage later on will be in for sticker shock when they realize how much of their income will need to be dedicated to retirement savings to make up for lost time,” she adds. “Few workers can afford to contribute 25%, 35% or even more of their annual income to their retirement plans.”

Other key findings from the report, “It’s Time to Save for Retirement,” show a worker who starts to contribute to a retirement plan at age 35 would need to save 16.5% of annual income to have the same amount of retirement income at age 65 as a worker who started contributing 10% annually at age 30. If the worker delays contributing to the retirement plan until age 40, he or she would need to save more than 26% of income annually to achieve the same level of retirement income at age 65, the report finds.

Importantly, delaying retirement can grow savings substantially through additional annual contributions and investment earnings. A worker who begins saving 10% of income annually at age 30 can increase his or her retirement income by about 73% by delaying retirement and annuitizing at age 70, rather than age 65. A worker who contributed 10% of income annually to a retirement plan beginning at age 35—rather than age 30—would receive only 7.6% less in his or her annual retirement income at age 70, compared with the 11% reduction experienced if retirement began at age 65.

However, many workers are forced to retire earlier than hoped for or expected, the IRI report notes, so delaying retirement is not always an option.

The full report is available here.

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