Managed Accounts and Target-Date Funds Are Not a Zero-Sum Game

David M. Blanchett, with PGIM DC Solutions, discusses how offering both TDFs and managed accounts in a retirement plan reduces the number of participants who self-direct investments.

Most people aren’t very good investors, plan participants included. The notion that making each 401(k) participant a portfolio manager would somehow lead to better outcomes hasn’t exactly panned out, we now know, with the benefit of hindsight.

The growing recognition that participants need help managing their 401(k) account is why target-date funds (TDFs) currently have $3 trillion in assets and are the default option of choice in defined contribution (DC) plans today.

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Plan sponsors and consultants typically love TDFs because they radically simplify investment decisionmaking for participants, who get a portfolio based on their expected retirement age. TDFs aren’t perfect, but they’re a good starting place for most investors.

In plans that offer a TDF as the default investment, roughly 75% of participants initially select it, and roughly 2% to 5% opt out per year. Even if the plan sponsor does a re-enrollment annually, it will probably have no more than 80% of plan participants in the TDF. Why? Because many want something else.

Most participants who don’t want to use the TDF or who opt out of the plan end up building their own portfolio—or “self-directing.” Yet some who don’t want to self-direct would like something more personalized than a TDF—something that reflects their specific, unique circumstances. 

They can get this type of advice/solution in about 50% of 401(k) plans today via a service called managed account. Managed accounts generally provide some form of robo adviser, the primary means of engagement being a website, although many providers offer additional forms of support, such as a call center or even local financial advisers.

Many consultants, and some plan sponsors, view managed accounts as competing with TDFs and compare them on performance and other metrics. In economic terms, this would make the two “substitutes” for each other, producing, effectively, a zero-sum game between them; participants can choose only one. This is very much the wrong perspective.

In reality, managed accounts and TDFs aren’t mutual substitutes, they’re mutual complements, because when offered together they actually increase the total number of participants in a plan using a professionally managed investment option. This achieves a goal that plan sponsors and consultants alike typically are working for.

This is a topic I explore in detail in my co-authored research brief “Complements, not substitutes: Together, managed account and target date funds improve retirement plan outcome.” We found that, while TDF use did decline slightly when a managed account option was offered, the effect was relatively small, and the overall percentage of participants using a professionally managed investment option—i.e., a TDF or a managed account—increased significantly. We estimate that about 80% of participants who choose a managed account would likely self-direct if a managed account option was not available, while about 20% would end up in a TDF.

This perspective is really important when thinking about the appropriate benchmark for managed accounts—and sometimes the decision of whether to offer them at all. If a plan sponsor compares managed accounts with TDFs using the “substitutes” perspective, it may decide not to offer the service, as the performance between the two will likely be similar—i.e., they are both professionally managed multi-asset portfolios. While to not offer managed accounts would likely increase the use of TDFs only slightly, it could also mean that many more participants will self-direct.

In other words, the benchmark for managed accounts probably shouldn’t be just TDFs because that fails to capture what participants do when managed accounts aren’t offered. Rather, the benchmark should be some combination of participants self-directing (~80%) and those who do opt for a TDF (~20%), which is a significantly lower bar. In other words, comparing a managed account with a TDF is a bad comparison because lacking the managed account option, many participants might simply self-direct.

While TDFs and managed accounts lend themselves to comparisons because they are both professionally managed investments, it’s important to realize that each is apt to appeal to a different cohort of participants. Participants who use a TDF tend to be younger with a lower income, while those who use a managed account tend to be older with a higher income.

In summary, managed accounts and TDFs should be viewed as complements of, not substitutes for, each other, because by offering a managed account option, plan sponsors are more apt to get additional participants into a professionally managed solution than if they offer a TDF alone. From my perspective, that’s a solid win.

David M. Blanchett is managing director, head of retirement research, at PGIM DC Solutions.

These materials represent the views, opinions and recommendations of the author regarding the economic conditions, asset classes, securities, issuers or financial instruments referenced herein. Any projections or forecasts presented herein are as of the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice.

This feature is to provide general information only, does not constitute legal or tax advice and cannot be used or substituted for legal or tax advice. Any opinions of the author do not necessarily reflect the stance of Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. (ISS) or its affiliates.

Investors’ Concern About Market Volatility Is Increasing

Following the long stretch of market gains despite the pandemic, investors are worried about retirement risks and more of them are showing interest in protection products.

After a summer of relative economic calm, Americans are increasingly worried about retirement risks related to market volatility, inflation and COVID-19, according to a new study from Allianz Life Insurance Co. of North America.

The “Q3 Quarterly Market Perceptions Study” found that more people—54% in the third quarter—were worried that a big market crash is in on the horizon, compared with 45% in the second quarter and 52% in the first. According to the study, these worries came as cases of the Delta variant were on the rise and as the markets continued their volatile trajectory.

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“People were feeling better about market risks to their retirement this summer when we saw that brief return to normalcy before getting a Delta-driven reality check,” says Kelly LaVigne, Allianz Life vice president of consumer insights. “Now, nearly seven in 10 (69%) say they are worried that the increase in COVID infections will cause another recession.”

As a result, more than one-third (36%) say volatility is making them nervous about their nest egg, and more than two-thirds (67%) say they are keeping some money out of the market to protect it from loss.

Notably, individual Americans thinking about retirement are not the only people worried about their return targets and the market environment over the next few years. Institutional investors representing more than $12 trillion in assets under management (AUM) anticipate downward pressure on their ability to outperform against their return targets, according to the “2021 Fidelity Institutional Investor Innovation Study,” also just released.

On the one hand, respondents to the Fidelity research nearly doubled their expected required rate of return in 2020. On average, they experienced a 12.3% actual return for 2020 compared with the average 6.3% expected return. Yet, looking forward, only 54% are confident they will achieve their expected target rate of return over the next three years.

When institutional investors were asked about challenges they are experiencing, the top answer, at 40% of respondents, was reaching for yield generation—that is, being forced to take on more risk for the same level of return. Thirty-nine percent of institutional investors confirmed they are taking on more total risk in their portfolios than three years ago, and 37% said they are not comfortable with the total level of risk in their portfolios.

“This year’s study signals headwinds that have been putting pressure on firms to consider taking on more risk as they look for new sources of excess returns,” explains Vadim Zlotnikov, president of Fidelity Asset Management Solutions and Fidelity Institutional Asset Management. “As we consider the impact of potential future macroeconomic changes, this is an opportunity for institutional investors to re-evaluate their investment philosophies and decisionmaking processes.”

In the Fidelity research, respondents selected their placement in an innovation category, based on their organization’s ability and willingness to experiment with new investment approaches and asset classes.

Most institutional investors in the study placed themselves in the middle, as either “early majority” innovators or “late majority” innovators. A smaller number of investors placed themselves in the tails of the innovation curve, with 5% identifying as true innovators and 18% as early adopters. Fidelity says the 13% of entities that identify as laggards help to demonstrate how widely investment and decisionmaking approaches can differ in the institutional marketplace, depending on an organization’s orientation toward innovation, even among institutions of similar types and sizes.

Innovators and early adopters reported a more optimistic performance outlook when compared with laggards, including higher return targets (6.8% vs. 5.7%). Both innovators and early adopters reported slightly higher actual rates of return in 2020 than the laggards (13.1% vs. 12.3%).

When asked about challenges to their portfolios, laggards were somewhat more likely to report concerns about yield generation and risk management. Conversely, innovators and early adopters were more likely to find it difficult to source different investment ideas.

“There is no right or wrong approach to innovation, but by analyzing different investment philosophies, we hope to better understand and support the distinct needs and goals of institutional investors across the investment innovators curve,” Zlotnikov says.

Protection and Inflation

Economic risks have fueled renewed interest in protection products, currently reaching levels not seen since mid-2019, according to Allianz Life. Its study found that people are increasingly likely to say it is important to have some retirement savings in products that protect from market loss (70% in the third quarter compared with 64% in the second). Further, nearly three-quarters (72%) say they would be willing to trade off some upside growth potential to have some protection from market loss.

Those with high investable assets (categorized in the study as being greater than $200,000) are even more likely to agree that it is important to protect retirement savings from loss (83%) and they commonly say they are willing to sacrifice gains for this protection (81%).

The Allianz Life study also notes that, in addition to concerns about the impact of market volatility on retirement security and interest in protection products, worries over inflation are also high—with many believing it will get worse and affect retirement plans. The study found that 78% of Americans expect inflation to get worse over the next year, and 69% say it will negatively impact their purchasing power over the coming months. 

Specific to retirement planning, 72% say they are concerned the rising cost of living will impact their retirement plans, and 70% say they are worried they will be unable to afford the lifestyle they want in retirement. Meanwhile, about half (57%) say they have a financial plan in place to help address the rising cost of living.

“With markets turning more volatile again and uncertainty lingering around the Delta variant, it’s logical that people might be looking for increased protection for their retirement savings, especially if they were negatively impacted by previous volatility due to COVID,” says LaVigne. “Leveraging protection products can be a good way [for investors] to participate in the markets so they don’t miss out on potential gains, instead of leaving money on the sidelines.”

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