The
median return for plans in the Wilshire Trust Universe Comparison Service
(TUCS) was 6% in 2014—making it the sixth consecutive year of positive
returns.
All
plan types had a median return of 1.70% in the fourth quarter of 2014. Robert
J. Waid, managing director at Wilshire Associates, said, “Similar to 2013, U.S.
Equities trumped all other asset classes in the 2014 fourth quarter and full
year. The exception for 2014 was the U.S. real estate asset class, with the
Wilshire U.S. RESI gaining 15.05% and 31.53% for the quarter and year,
respectively. The Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index was up 5.26% and 12.74%,
respectively, during the fourth quarter and in 2014.”
For
bonds, Waid added that the Barclays U.S. Aggregate had gains for the fourth
quarter and year of 1.79% and 5.97%, respectively. “This translates to a small
range of plan returns with a low of 1.24% for Taft Harley Health and Welfare
Funds and a high of 2.14% for Corporate Funds for the quarter. The spread for
2014 returns was also small, with a low of 4.78% for Taft Harley Health and Welfare
Funds and a high of 6.92% for Corporate Funds,” he said.
Corporate
funds’ median asset allocation was:
U.S.
Equities – 30.70%;
Intl
Equities – 8.30%;
U.S.
Bonds – 42.78%; and
Cash
– 2.55%.
For
public funds, the median asset allocation was:
There
is a clear sign of reduced home bias in equities, as the weight of domestic
equities in pension portfolios fell, on average, from 65% in 1998 to 43% in
2014, according to Towers Watson’s Global Pensions Asset Study 2015.
However,
during the past 10 years, U.S. pension plans have maintained the highest bias
to domestic equities (67% in 2014), having also increased domestic equity bias
during the past three years. Canadian and Swiss funds remain the markets with
the lowest allocation to domestic equities (33% and 34%, respectively, in
2014), while U.K. exposure to domestic equities has more than halved, to 36%,
since 1998.
The
research shows Canadian and U.S. funds have retained a very strong home bias in
fixed-income investment since the research began (98% and 91%, respectively, in
2014), while Australian and Swiss funds have reduced exposure to domestic bonds
significantly since 1998—down by 31% and 17%, respectively, during this period.
Allocations
to alternative assets (especially real estate and, to a lesser extent, hedge
funds, private equity and commodities) in the larger markets have grown from 5%
to 25% since 1995, according to the research. In the past decade, most
countries have increased their exposure to alternative assets, with Australia
increasing them the most (from 10% to 26%), followed by the U.S. (from 16% to
29%), Switzerland (from 16% to 28%), Canada (from 13% to 22%) and the U.K.
(from 7% to 15%).
Assets at U.S.
institutional pension funds increased 9% in 2014, to a record $22.1 trillion,
according to Towers Watson. Globally, institutional pension fund assets in the
16 major markets grew by more than 6% during 2014 (compared to around 10% in
2013) to reach a new high of $36 trillion.
DC
Overtaking DB
The
Towers Watson study also shows that defined contribution (DC) assets grew
rapidly for the 10-year period ending in 2014, with a compound annual growth
rate (CAGR) of 7%, versus a rate of more than 4% for defined benefit (DB)
assets. As a result, DC plan assets have grown from 38% of all global pension assets
in 2004 to 47% in 2014 and are expected to overtake DB assets in the next few
years. In the U.S. specifically, DC assets continued to climb steadily and now represent 58%
of all assets, up from 52% in 2004 and 55% in 2009.
Australia
has the highest proportion of DC to DB pension assets, at 85% to 15%, followed by
the U.S., at 58% to 42%. Only Australia and the U.S. have a larger proportion of
DC assets than DB assets. Japan, Canada and the Netherlands are markets
dominated by DB pensions, with 97%, 96% and 95% of assets, respectively,
invested in these types of pensions.
According
to the study, pension assets now amount to around 84% of the global gross
domestic product (GDP), substantially higher than the 54% recorded in 2008. In
the U.S., the ratio of pension assets to GDP increased from 95% in 2004 to 127%
in 2014.
“While
there has been a significant improvement in various pension balance sheets
around the world since the financial crisis, many DB pension funds are still in
very weak funded positions. However, in the U.S., pension plans are in a better
position, given the contribution flexibility,” says Steve Carlson, head of
Towers Watson’s Americas Investment practice.
The
16 largest pension markets included in the study are Australia, Brazil, Canada,
France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, the Netherlands,
South Africa, South Korea, Switzerland, the U.K. and the U.S. The P16 accounts
for approximately 85% of global pension assets.
The Towers Watson
Global Pensions Asset Study 2015 can be found here.